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Why is Rome the Next Big Thing in high-end hospitality?

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Exploring the trends of luxury to be understood not as ostentation, but as an innovative approach to well-being and a ‘total experience’. This is the direction taken by the new season of Talk for a Change, the series by Medelhan Production which, starting this year, takes on the unprecedented form of podcasts as well as an increasing focus on the expanding world of luxury hospitality. For the first episode of 2024, we find ourselves in Rome, a city that can serve as a valid barometer for assessing the state of the art of hospitality. Indeed, among the structures present in its territory are the Bulgari Hotel, named the best 5-star hotel in 2023, and the Six Senses, which ranks seventh. Furthermore, according to data from Luxury Travel Intelligence, Rome has also two representatives in the top 15 most interesting properties worldwide.

Another key factor in framing the phenomenon of the Eternal City is its pipeline of new openings – a trend that in the 2018-2022 quinquennium brought fourty new 5-star structures and a strong growth prospect for the subsequent quinquennium. Expanding to the broader Italian context, among the data at our disposal is the return of foreign tourists to Italy, with a presence of over 445 million people in 2023 – a figure for the first time higher than in 2019, marking an 8.1% growth over 2022. To unfold this complex framework of data and numbers in a spectrum of scenario, we refer to the analysis carried out for Talk for a Change by Giordano Nicoletti, Head of Hotel Operator Selection Europe & Consultancy at CBRE and partner of Medelhan.

Image copyright: @CBRE Group
Image copyright: @CBRE Group

Where does Rome rank in terms of a demand recovery trend? What are the existing excellences on the Roman market from a hotel supply perspective? And what has been confirmed in the pipeline? To answer these questions and to have a clear idea of ​​the weight that Rome has in transactions taking place in Italy and of its perception by international investors, we must start from numbers. Observing the trend of investments in the hotel sector from 2018 to 2023, we find a certain stability, with an average ranging between one and a half and two billion. The exception is 2019, where the difference is largely constituted by the transaction of the Belmond portfolio, where LVMH has in fact bought the walls and management of one of the most relevant hotel groups in the world, whose seven properties in Italy are the flagship of the entire collection. This is followed by 2020, the year of the pandemic, which brought with it an evident slowdown, and a three-year period of progressive normalization of the numbers.

However, the most interesting datum within the graph is the weight that Rome has in investments. The growth of the 2021-22 biennium reflects both the acquisition of existing hotels and properties aimed at transformation. Today, in fact, much of the development activity we see in the hotel sector is due to transformations of properties that previously had another intended use. The hotel has thus become a way to reinvent properties within our urban centres, and this is a determining feature in the industry growth. Another element to consider is that up to fifteen years ago, the hotel asset class was marginal from the investors’ point of view, accessory, so to speak. Only in recent years has it evolved into a truly important asset class in the city’s development process, closing in 2023 at 1.6 billion, second only to commercial real estate for number of transactions.

Image copyright: @CBRE Group
Image copyright: @CBRE Group

Observing the Rome tourist movements, we can see that the city has recorded almost 25 million overnight stays in hotel structures alone in 2019, thus setting an absolute record. Clearly, there was then a strong decline in 2020, followed by an equally strong recovery in 2023, where demand volumes exceeded those of 2019. This demonstrates the strong interest that the city exercises not only for domestic customers, who remain a fundamental segment for the hotel industry, but especially for international customers. The latter become all the more important the higher we move up as hotel positioning: about 30% of stays in 5-star hotels are made up of customers from the United States. It is true that the recovery in the post-pandemic period was predominantly driven by domestic segments, mainly motivated by the fear of long trips, but starting from 2022 we can see how the focus has returned to international demand.

Image copyright: @CBRE Group
Image copyright: @CBRE Group

The strong interest in Rome from a demand perspective can also be found in the openings between 2021 and 2023. By condensing all the openings across various segments, from economic to luxury and super luxury, into a single overview, we can see that hotels internationally classified as upper scale or luxury run the highest number. Within this trend, we can then observe two main streams: on one hand, the opening of large hotels from international chains located in prestigious locations, and on the other hand, a series of boutique concepts by international operators in niche locations. For example, neighborhoods like Monti and Trastevere, while still distant in terms of rates for the super luxury target, provide an excellent solution for a boutique product with experiential character and a strong F&B element.

We must also consider that, despite the strong interest from international clientele and the long list of new openings, Rome lags behind not only other Italian cities, such as Milan or Venice, but also and especially compared to direct European competitors like London and Paris, in terms of branded rooms. Currently, Rome stands at around 20%, while Milan is at 50%, and Paris and London exceed 70%. However, these percentages should be seen as an opportunity, not as a threat, for a city that increasingly needs quality hotels, professionally managed, tied to international brands, ensuring high product and service standards.

Image copyright: @CBRE Group
Image copyright: @CBRE Group

The hotel pipeline in Rome is increasingly shifting towards the high-end segment, with a dense concentration in downtown locations. Although Rome is much more than just its city center, approximately 80% of the openings are focused on the central area. This creates a disparity between the supply in neighborhoods such as the Colosseum and the Vatican, and decentralized areas that would deserve a greater number of high-positioned chain hotels.

Nonetheless, what has been seen so far still offers a positive perspective on Rome’s market, whose performance in terms of RevPAR – the ratio between a hotel’s occupancy rate and the average room rate – stands at €170, therefore higher than Milan. On the other hand, tourist flows must be considered: while Rome accommodates 26 million hotel tourists, Milan has 10 million. Hence, why is Milan able to reduce the gap between tourist flows and RevPAR? It is because the hotel quality offered by Milan is superior to that of Rome, especially in the high-end market segments. If we instead analyze the immediately lower segment, the four-star category, we notice a strong polarization between the two cities. This means that there are great opportunities for performance in the intermediate segments.

Finally, if we compare the RevPAR of the top six hotels in Rome, Paris, and London, we can see that Rome’s RevPAR ranks just below Paris and above London. This indicates that, despite having fewer chain hotels compared to London, Rome maintains high competitiveness. Thus, numbers show that, with the progressive improvement of its offerings, Rome can certainly become a benchmark for high-level hospitality in Europe.

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